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Do Tax Cuts Produce More Einsteins? The Impacts of Financial Incentives vs. Exposure to Innovation on the Supply of Inventors

Many countries provide financial incentives to spur innovation, ranging from tax incentives to research and development grants. In this paper, we study how such financial incentives affect individuals' decisions to pursue careers in innovation. We first present empirical evidence on inventors' career trajectories and income distributions using de-identified data on 1.2 million inventors from patent records linked to tax records in the U.S.

State of the Union 2019: Policy

A comprehensive policy agenda that could help millennials ... and other generations too.

State of the Union 2019: Health

  • Millennials benefited from the expansion of health insurance coverage under the Affordable Care Act. The share of adults in their 20s without health insurance fell by more than half from 2009 to 2017. 
  • This expansion led to a reduction in racial and ethnic inequalities in health insurance coverage. 

    State of the Union 2019: Social Networks

    • Millennials spend at least as much time with relatives or friends, and hanging out at bars, as preceding generations. 
    • This commitment to relatively high rates of face-to-face interaction continues even as millennials use social media at unprecedented rates. 
    • The millennial generation—unlike previous ones—has all but closed the digital divide between poor and nonpoor.

    State of the Union 2019: Housing

    • Young millennials have lower rates of homeownership than Generation X, baby boomers, and the Silent Generation at comparable ages. We have to reach back to a generation born nearly a century ago—the Greatest Generation—to find homeownership rates lower than those found today among millennials. 
    • The racial gap in young-adult homeownership is larger for millennials than for any generation in the past century. Although the housing reforms after the civil rights era reduced the racial homeownership gap, all those gains have now been lost.

    State of the Union 2019: Poverty and the Safety Net

    • Although there is much worry about millennials’ well-being, their poverty rates at age 30 are no higher than those of Gen Xers at the same age. 
    • But millennials do have very high poverty rates before the safety net takes effect by supplementing market income. Robust tax credit and transfer programs have staved off what would otherwise be an increase in poverty relative to prior generations.

    State of the Union 2019: Occupational Segregation

    • The gender segregation of occupations is less pronounced among millennials than among any other generation in recent U.S. history. 
    • By contrast, millennials are experiencing just as much racial and ethnic occupational segregation as prior generations, even though millennials are less tolerant of overt expressions of racism. 

      State of the Union 2019: Social Mobility

      • American men and women born since 1980—the millennials—have been less upwardly mobile than previous generations of Americans. 
      • The growth of white-collar and professional employment resulted in relatively high occupational status for the parents of millennials. Because that transition raised parents’ status, it set a higher target for millennials to hit. 
      • This target is not frequently hit, in part because the economy is not providing enough opportunities for millennials in the white-collar and professional sectors.

      State of the Union 2019: Income and Earnings

      • For men, the conventional “gloomy millennial stories” have some merit, as the median income of millennials is lower than that of Gen X, and the median earnings of millennials are not any higher than those of Gen X.
      • For women, the American Dream lives on in the sense that there’s a steady generational improvement in median earnings and income, an improvement that is carrying on into the millennial generation.

      State of the Union 2019: Student Debt

      • Relative to Generation X, millennials took out more student loans, took out larger student loans, and defaulted more frequently. 
      • Defaults increased because millennials faced higher tuition payments, took out larger loans to meet those higher costs, turned to for-profit schools that don’t offer any returns, and entered a labor market in the throes of recession.

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