The Intergenerational Transmission of Family-Income Advantages in the United States

Estimates of economic persistence and mobility in the United States, as measured by the intergenerational elasticity (IGE), cover a very wide range. Nevertheless, careful analyses of the evidence suggested until recently that as much as half, and possibly more, of economic advantages are passed on from parents to children. This “dominant hypothesis” was seriously challenged by the first-ever study of family-income mobility based on tax data (Chetty et al.2014), which provided estimates of family-income IGEs indicating that only one third of economic advantages are transmitted across generations and claimed that previous highly influential IGE estimates based on administrative data were upward biased. Using a different tax-based dataset, this article provides estimates of family-income IGEs that strongly support the dominant hypothesis. The article also carries out a one-to-one comparison between IGEs estimated with the two tax-based datasets and shows that Chetty et al.’s estimates were driven downward by a combination of attenuation, lifecycle, selection and functional-form biases. Lastly, the article determines the exact relationship between parental-income inequality,economic persistence and inequality of opportunity, which leads to the twofold conclusion that in the United States at least half of income inequality among parents is transformed into inequality of opportunity for their children, and that there is a very high level of inequality of opportunity in the country compared to most other highly-developed countries. 

Reference Information

Author: 

Pablo A. Mitnik,
Victoria Bryant,
Michael Weber
Publisher: 
Stanford Center on Poverty and Inequality
Publication Date: 
July 2018